'Trump set us up': Israel shocked by secret US deal with Iran

Washington is rushing to conclude an agreement that could rewrite the rules of the game in the Middle East, while Jerusalem is already counting the losses.

On June 14, 2026, a sense of deep anxiety reigns in Israel. Senior officials in the government and military are openly saying that Washington is willing to sacrifice the interests of its closest ally for the sake of a quick diplomatic breakthrough with Tehran. The new framework memorandum between the United States and Iran, expected to be signed in the coming days, does not simply ignore key Israeli demands — it effectively opens the financial floodgates to Tehran, while leaving the regime’s missile and proxy potential intact.

The essence of the threat: millions for weapons and militants

The headache for Israel is that the deal does not address Iran’s ballistic missile program. According to Israeli sources, Tehran will be able to continue developing high-precision systems capable of hitting targets at a distance of more than 2000 kilometers without hindrance. This means that within a few years Iran could have an arsenal that would threaten not only Israel but also the Gulf states.

A separate point is the financing of proxy groups. The release of some of the frozen assets through Qatar, even under humanitarian pretexts, will allow Tehran to direct billions of dollars to Hezbollah, Hamas, and Shiite groups in Iraq and Syria. Israeli analysts have calculated that Iran will receive an additional $25–30 billion annually from the easing of oil sanctions alone. These funds are already being directed to the restoration of weapons depots in southern Lebanon.

Nuclear track: uranium remains in the country

The most controversial issue remains Iran's uranium. The American side claims that an agreement has been reached on the removal and destruction of enriched material under US control. However, Iranian diplomats use the term "dilution", which means only partial degradation, not complete removal. Israel reminds us that in 2015 Tehran was already hiding secret centrifuges from IAEA inspectors. If enriched uranium remains in Iran, the regime will be able to resume weapons production within weeks of Trump leaving office.

Lebanon Trap: Pressure on Israel Intensifies

Iran insists on including a ceasefire clause on the Israeli-Lebanese border in the agreement. Jerusalem is categorically against it. Israeli military analysts predict two scenarios: Washington will start putting pressure on Israel, demanding restraint in relation to Hezbollah, or Tehran itself will order the militants to retreat beyond the Litani River in order to buy time for rearmament. Prime Minister Netanyahu has already stated that the Israel Defense Forces will not leave Lebanon without the complete disarmament of the south of the country. In the event of the slightest shelling, the air force will strike the Dahiya quarter in Beirut.

Psychological blow to regional deterrence

What worries Israeli officials most is not so much the document itself, but the signal it sends to the region. After months of open attacks by Israel and the United States, Iran has stood its ground and refused to make any systemic concessions. The Arab countries of the Persian Gulf may conclude that even Washington's military might is not capable of breaking the Iranian regime. This undermines Israel's long-standing efforts to create a deterrent system.

One senior Israeli diplomat summed up the situation in a private conversation succinctly: "Trump has set us up. We are out of the game and no longer have any influence on anything."

Netanyahu's reaction and possible scenarios

Benjamin Netanyahu is in a difficult situation. Trump may try to force him to sign a peace agreement with Lebanon right on the White House lawn, using it as an election victory. However, Israeli generals are making it clear: the withdrawal is possible only in stages and on condition that the Lebanese army actually clears the south of militants. Any attempt to forcibly withdraw troops will be regarded as a red line.

International context and new details June 2026

According to Reuters, published on June 13, the American delegation has already agreed with the Iranian side on the text of the memorandum on 47 pages. The document provides for a 60-day period of negotiations with the possibility of extension for another 60 days. At the same time, Pakistan has declared its readiness to become a platform for the final signing. In Tehran, the agreement is already called a “historic victory” and plans to widely cover it in state media as proof of the weakness of the West.

European diplomats who participated in the 2015 negotiations, in comments to Le Monde, note that the current agreement is significantly weaker than the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. It does not contain “snapback” mechanisms - automatic return of sanctions in case of violation. This means that Iran receives almost complete freedom of action after the end of the transition period.

Economic consequences for the region

Goldman Sachs analysts predict that after the lifting of some restrictions on Iranian oil exports, Brent prices could fall by $8–12 per barrel by the end of the summer of 2026. This would have a positive effect on the European economy, but at the same time would give Tehran additional resources to finance its military operations. Israeli economists warn that the increase in Iranian arms spending could lead to a new arms race in the region, which Saudi Arabia and the UAE would be forced to join.